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PoliticalPredictions.APP + Claude: why a political post might or might not move a market

PoliticalPredictions.APP matches public political posts to the Polymarket and Kalshi markets they could touch. Claude can lay the post next to those matches and talk through, in plain words, why each market might or might not react.

AgentStructure.AI5 min read

Works with

  • Muse.ai
  • Instinct
  • Grok
  • Claude
  • ChatGPT
  • Any MCP-capable assistant
Add PoliticalPredictions.APP to Claude as a custom connector, then ask what a political post could mean for each market it matched.
Example alert. Names and numbers are illustrative.

Key takeaways

The short version.

  • PoliticalPredictions.APP reads public political posts on X and matches them to public Polymarket and Kalshi markets, with the post, the contract, its last price and an as-of time.
  • Claude can add the app's remote MCP address, https://politicalpredictions.app/mcp, as a custom connector. The app's site says no API key and no OAuth are needed.
  • The app supplies the post and the matches. The reasoning about why a market might or might not move is Claude's reading, so check it against the sources.
  • This is not a listing or built-in integration with Claude. You add the address yourself.
  • Both tools only report and explain. Neither gives investment advice, places a bet or makes a trade.

Who it is for

Who is this pairing for?

  • It is for people who follow prediction markets on Polymarket or Kalshi and want to understand a political post, not just see a list:…

  • PoliticalPredictions.APP reads public posts, mainly from @realDonaldTrump and @WhiteHouse plus a short list of mapped political accounts,…

  • The app finds the match.

It is for people who follow prediction markets on Polymarket or Kalshi and want to understand a political post, not just see a list: reporters, students of politics, researchers and curious readers across the political spectrum.

PoliticalPredictions.APP reads public posts, mainly from @realDonaldTrump and @WhiteHouse plus a short list of mapped political accounts, and attaches the public markets that are actually about the same topic. Claude is Anthropic's AI assistant, and it is good at explaining connections in plain language.

The app finds the match. Claude helps you think about it. Neither takes a side on the politics.

Use cases

5 ways people use PoliticalPredictions.APP + Claude.

  1. Post and markets

    1. Read a post and its matched markets together

    Ask Claude about a recent post. Through the connector, the app returns the post with a link back to it and the matching public contracts, each with its last price, recent move and as-of time.

    Claude can then lay them out side by side in a short table: the post, each market, and the topic that connects them. Every item links to its source, so you can open the original.

  2. Why it might move

    2. Ask why a market might move

    The match tells you a market is about the same topic as the post. It does not say what the market will do. Ask Claude to explain, in plain words, how the topic in the post could bear on that contract.

    Ask for the reasoning in one or two sentences per market and for it to say what it is assuming. This is Claude's explanation of a possible link, not a forecast and not something the app reports.

  3. Why it might not

    3. Ask why a market might not move

    A good explanation includes the reasons for no reaction: the post repeats something already known, the contract depends on a different event, or the price already moved earlier.

    Ask Claude for both sides for each market. The as-of time and recent move in the result give it something concrete to refer to, and you can ask it to say plainly when a point is a guess.

  4. No match

    4. Make sense of a no match

    Matching is conservative. A named topic has to appear in both the post and the contract, so a loosely related post can return no match. The app says so instead of stretching.

    Ask Claude to explain what a no match means: no public market on that topic was found, which is different from the post not mattering. Claude should not invent a market to fill the gap.

  5. Your list

    5. Rank the markets you follow

    The app's site describes ranking the markets you follow, so a vague question such as what mattered today becomes an ordered answer about your own list.

    Claude can group the entries that share a cause and point out the ones that look unrelated, while you decide what is worth a closer look.

On your phone

What the alerts look like.

Illustrative

Figure 1

An example exchange. The post and the markets are made up.

Example alerts. Every name, number and event shown is illustrative.

How to

How do I connect PoliticalPredictions.APP to Claude?

  1. Step 1

    Open [politicalpredictions.app](https://politicalpredictions.app) and copy the remote MCP address, https://politicalpredictions.app/mcp. The site says no API key and no OAuth are needed.

  2. Step 2

    In Claude, go to Customize, then Connectors, and choose to add a custom connector. Enter a name and that address, then review the authentication settings. A server with no sign-in can be added without credentials.

  3. Step 3

    On a Team or Enterprise plan an organization owner adds the connector under Organization settings first, then each member connects.

  4. Step 4

    Start a chat, say which topics or markets you follow, and ask about a post. Review the tool requests Claude shows before you approve them.

Custom connectors are described in Anthropic's help center, which lists the plans that include them. Plans and menus can change, so follow that page. PoliticalPredictions.APP is not listed in Claude's directory or built into Claude.

Open PoliticalPredictions.APP + ClaudeConnect your AI

FAQ

Frequently asked questions.

Is PoliticalPredictions.APP an official Claude integration?

No. There is no partnership or built-in integration. Claude supports custom connectors through remote MCP, and you add the app's address yourself. The app is an AgentStructure.AI app.

Does the app explain why a market might move?

The app supplies the post, the matched contract, its price and an as-of time, and a short plain answer. The longer reasoning about why a market might or might not react comes from Claude, so treat it as an explanation to check.

Is this investment advice?

No. The app is informational only. It never places bets or trades, never touches a wallet and does not say what to buy. Claude's explanations are not advice either.

Does it favor a political side?

No. It reports what public accounts post and which public markets match. Ask Claude to keep its explanations neutral and to stick to what the sources say.

What does it cost?

Asking about any post, event or market works free through the connector. The apps are free during the beta, and extra tools are described as coming soon on the site, so check there for the current status.

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