BlogFollowing a ballot measure from announcement to vote

Following a ballot measure from announcement to vote with OpinionPulse

Ballot measures move slowly, then suddenly. OpinionPulse watches polls, Polymarket and Kalshi prices and X volume for the topic you name, and alerts you when opinion shifts, with every source attached.

AgentStructure.AINovember 7, 20265 min read

Works with

Muse.ai
Instinct
Grok
Claude
ChatGPT
Any MCP-capable assistant

OpinionPulse watches polls, prediction markets and social volume on a ballot measure and alerts you when opinion shifts.

AIFollowing a ballot measure from announcement to votenow

A new public poll on the transit measure just landed, and the prediction markets have not caught up yet. OpinionPulse flagged a shift. Here are the poll, the market prices and the sources.

Do the markets disagree with the poll?

Not yet. The Polymarket and Kalshi prices still reflect the older picture. The poll headline points toward a shift, and each source is linked so you can check it.

Example alert. Names and numbers are illustrative.

Key takeaways

The short version.

OpinionPulse joins public poll headlines, Polymarket and Kalshi prices and an X volume label for any topic you name.
Premium alerts tell you when opinion on a topic you follow shifts, so you do not have to keep checking.
Every alert comes with its sources, so you can verify before you act.
Receive alerts by text, email, or in your favorite AI, such as a personal AI like Instinct or Muse.
It reports data only: no advice, no trades, no voting recommendations.

Who it is for

Why is it so hard to follow a ballot measure?

A ballot measure can run for months.
That is a real problem for campaign volunteers, local reporters, advocacy staff, civic-minded voters and anyone whose work depends on a…
OpinionPulse is built for exactly this.

A ballot measure can run for months. A poll appears one week, a news story the next, a burst of chatter on social media after that. Each signal lives in a different place, and by the time you piece them together, the mood may already have changed.

That is a real problem for campaign volunteers, local reporters, advocacy staff, civic-minded voters and anyone whose work depends on a measure's fate. Checking five tabs every morning is tedious, and skipping a day means you can miss the moment opinion moved.

OpinionPulse is built for exactly this. You name a topic, and it brings together the latest public poll headlines, overlapping Polymarket and Kalshi prices and an X volume label. Then it tells you whether opinion is shifting, with every source attached. It is data, not advice, a trade or a vote call.

Use cases

4 ways people use Following a ballot measure from announcement to vote.

Poll first
Poll first
1. A new poll lands before the markets react
Say you follow a transit funding measure for your city. A new public poll comes out showing a different picture than before. Prediction market prices often take a little time to respond.
OpinionPulse flags that gap: a fresh poll on a topic you follow, with the markets not yet caught up. The alert includes the poll, the market prices and the sources. Your next step is simple: open the poll, read how it was run, and decide whether to update your talking points or your coverage plan.
Do sources agree?
Do sources agree?
2. Checking whether the signals agree
Imagine you are a volunteer deciding where to spend the final weeks. One poll headline may look encouraging, but is anything else pointing the same way?
Ask your AI whether opinion is moving on the topic. OpinionPulse compares recent poll headlines with the overlapping Polymarket and Kalshi prices and tells you if they point the same way, showing what each source says. If they agree, that is a stronger signal than one poll alone. If they disagree, you know to dig deeper before drawing conclusions.
Volume spike
Volume spike
3. Spotting a spike in conversation
Suppose a debate clip or news story sends people online talking about a measure you follow. The X volume label shows whether attention on the topic is rising.
An alert that pairs a volume change with poll headlines and market prices helps you tell noise from movement. Louder is not the same as changed minds, and having all three signals side by side lets you judge for yourself. Your next step might be to look at the linked sources and see whether the chatter has any polling behind it.
Set and follow
Set and follow
4. Staying current without daily checking
Maybe you are a reporter with several stories on your desk. You cannot refresh poll pages all day. With premium, you pick the topic once and receive an alert only when opinion shifts.
The free plan lets you ask about any topic anytime through the API or MCP, which suits a quick check before a meeting. Premium adds the alerts, and it is free during the beta.

On your phone

What the alerts look like.

Poll before markets

Figure 1

AIFollowing a ballot measure from announcement to votenow

A new public poll on the transit measure just landed, and the prediction markets have not caught up yet. OpinionPulse flagged a shift. Here are the poll, the market prices and the sources.

Do the markets disagree with the poll?

Not yet. The Polymarket and Kalshi prices still reflect the older picture. The poll headline points toward a shift, and each source is linked so you can check it.

For example, a city transit measure you follow.

Signals agree

Figure 2

For example, a check on a state housing measure.

Volume rising

Figure 3

AIFollowing a ballot measure from announcement to votenow

X volume on the school bond measure is rising. OpinionPulse checked the latest poll headlines and market prices alongside it. Sources attached.

Is opinion actually changing or just louder?

Open the attached poll and market sources to compare. OpinionPulse reports a shift only when the signals support it, and it never advises how to vote or trade.

For example, after a heated debate.

Example alerts. Every name, number and event shown is illustrative.

How to

How do I start following a measure?

Step 1
Open [opinionpulse.app](https://opinionpulse.app) and sign in.
Step 2
Pick the topic you want to watch, such as your ballot measure.
Step 3
Choose how you want alerts: text, email, or your favorite AI.
Step 4
To use your AI, copy the API key and MCP address from the app's connect page and add them to your assistant.

OpinionPulse reports data with sources. It does not give investment, legal or voting advice, and it never trades or acts on its own. Premium alerts are free during the beta.

Open Following a ballot measure from announcement to vote Connect your AI

FAQ

Frequently asked questions.

What does OpinionPulse actually look at?

For a topic you name, it joins the latest public poll headlines with overlapping Polymarket and Kalshi prices and an X volume label, then tells you whether opinion is shifting.

Can it tell me how to vote?

No. It is data, not advice, a trade or a vote call. It shows you the sources so you can decide.

What is free and what is premium?

The free plan lets you ask about any topic anytime through the API or MCP. Premium adds alerts when opinion on a topic you follow shifts. Premium is free during the beta.

Where can I receive alerts?

By text, by email, or in your favorite AI. A personal AI such as Instinct or Muse is a natural fit.

Can I check the information myself?

Yes. Every answer and alert comes with its sources attached.

All posts

The short version.

Why is it so hard to follow a ballot measure?

4 ways people use Following a ballot measure from announcement to vote.

1. A new poll lands before the markets react

2. Checking whether the signals agree

3. Spotting a spike in conversation

4. Staying current without daily checking

What the alerts look like.

How do I start following a measure?

Frequently asked questions.

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